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UPDATE: Why Are The COVID-19 Models So Far From Reality?

Permalink 04/16/20 18:03, by OGRE / (Jeff), Categories: News, Background, In real life, On the web, Politics, Health Care, Strange_News, U.S. Economy

Science, like any industry, is money driven. A lot of scientists want to be the "first" to publish something. This leads to a lot of shoddy work, and ridiculous conclusions. A perfect example is eggs. Remember about 20 years ago they had all of those articles that said eggs were high in cholesterol and bad for you based on "first of it's kind" research. Then about 5 years later there was followup research that completely disproved the previous research. Now we know that eggs are great for you and are full of everything the human body needs.

I believe the same thing happened with the models for the COVID-19 virus. The early models were wildly inaccurate, but they made the headlines didn't they? Once the statistician who pumped out these numbers received recognition, they'll be sure receive funding. Never mind that their models are deeply flawed. These inaccuracies can usually be explained away in another 5 years, after most people have forgotten about the original research. But these models are being challenged in a very short amount of time and this time with the actual raw data. The COVID-19 outbreak is exposing a serious moral hazard in the scientific community, money, not science.

One Israeli professor eludes to this here.

While the American policies remain less restrictive than those of Israel, it is important to understand the origins of our own “mass hysteria” response. President Trump urged a strong coronavirus response after consulting with Dr. Fauci and his team, who relied on a British model predicting 2.2 million deaths in the United States and 500,000 deaths in the U.K. But that model was developed by Professor Neil Ferguson, who had a history of wildly overestimating death rates through his prediction models. Professor Ferguson was not known for his reliability, and his 2001 disease model was criticized as “not fit for purpose” after it predicted that up to 150,000 people could die in the U.K. from mad cow disease (177 deaths to date). Ferguson’s U.K. coronavirus deaths prediction is now down to 20,000 people, 4% of the original prediction.

Professor Neil Ferguson has a history of being wildly inaccurate. But he was definitely good at getting published because of his sensationalism! I'm sure you guys remember Mad Cow Disease, there was a big scare about that as well. Nobody remembers the wild numbers that Ferguson put out there. That's how these people normally get away with these totally ridiculous predictions. The numbers are so wildly inaccurate, you could have just made them up and been closer.

Now we have official government policy based on these ridiculous numbers. We have caused years worth of damage to the US economy for nothing. The article referenced above explains how the virus has run almost the exact same course in each of the countries it has impacted --regardless of the measures used to mitigate the response. Yitzhak Ben Israel has no answer for how the virus curves have been so similar. But I do, I think COVID-19 has been here since at least October of last year. Mitigation efforts will have little effect if the virus has already spread all over the country --while nobody was looking for it! That's why I think the curves are so similar. The virus had already spread all over the world before anyone started testing for it.

UPDATE:

At least one person agrees with my reasoning, Dr. Luc Montagnier.

We knew that the Chinese version of how the coronavirus emerged was increasingly under attack, but here’s a thesis that tells a completely different story about the Covid-19 pandemic, which is already responsible for more than 110,000 deaths worldwide. According to Professor Luc Montagnier, winner of the Nobel Prize for Medicine in 2008 for “discovering” HIV as the cause of the AIDS epidemic together with Françoise Barré-Sinoussi, the SARS-CoV-2 is a virus that was manipulated and accidentally released from a laboratory in Wuhan, China, in the last quarter of 2019. According to Professor Montagnier, this laboratory, known for its work on coronaviruses, tried to use one of these viruses as a vector for HIV in the search for an AIDS vaccine!

In a challenging question Dr Jean-François Lemoine inferred that the coronavirus under investigation may have come from a patient who is otherwise infected with HIV. No, “says Luc Montagnier,” in order to insert an HIV sequence into this genome, molecular tools are needed, and that can only be done in a laboratory.

According to the 2008 Nobel Prize for Medicine, a plausible explanation would be an accident in the Wuhan laboratory. He also added that the purpose of this work was the search for an AIDS vaccine.

This makes sense. The number of people who are infected with COVID-19 doesn't add up with the virus getting here in January or February 2020.

Consider this. When you look at the numbers of people who contract COVID-19 those who have severe symptoms are a small percentage. Of those people with severe symptoms, the number of people that actually require hospitalization is even lower. It appears that COVID-19 could have been released accidentally from the Chinese lab in Wuhan. This could have happened without anyone knowing until so many people were infected that the number of people with severe symptoms requiring hospitalization became noticeably high. Otherwise, like the rest of the world, the Chinese would just assume it was another bad flu season.

More evidence to support my conclusion.

Pay attention to the "cases and deaths per 100,000 people."

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WHOLE TEXT Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act / CARES Act

Permalink 03/29/20 08:49, by OGRE / (Jeff), Categories: News, Background, In real life, On the web, Politics, Health Care, Stimulus Spending

Here is a link to the entire text of the "CARES Act" from Congress.gov. This bill is a government bail out. More than help the American people, it helps government pet projects. Why do so many government institutions require Coronavirus relief? Wouldn't it be cheaper to just keep paying government employees during the lock-down period? Of course it would, that's how you know that this is just a slush fund for government institutions.

Here's the vote lowdown...

I suggest scrolling through it from the bottom. Because that's where all the goodies are.

https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/748/text

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(COVID-19) Wuhan Virus - Payroll Tax Relief For 2020, Why It Will NEVER Happen

Permalink 03/13/20 17:22, by OGRE / (Jeff), Categories: Welcome, News, Background, Fun, In real life, On the web, Politics, Health Care, Stimulus Spending, Elections

I would really like to have a payroll tax relief for the entire year. That would be a really good thing for the economy, but a very bad thing for politicians.

Remember when The FairTax was being discussed? The problem is that most people don't actually know what they pay in taxes. It's like the gas tax in any given state. What is the gas tax rate? It's hard to find, it isn't listed on your receipt when you buy fuel. That's by design, that way it can be manipulated, and people won't know what their tax rate is. It can be changed without a vote.

If Trump was to successfully suspend the payroll tax for the rest of the year, people would wake up! They would see the weekly difference in their pay as it relates to taxes. That's the ONLY reason a tax relief package of that type will never make it to Trump's desk. Payroll tax relief has as much chance of passing as The FairTax does, or did.

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Trying to Steal an Election (For Real!)

Permalink 11/19/19 02:55, by OGRE / (Jeff), Categories: News, Background, In real life, On the web, History, Politics, Strange_News, Elections

This is unbelievable, but it's not when you consider the convictions of those who wish to "fundamentally transform America."

There is a movement to cancel the votes of million of people! This is real legitimate voter suppression. They are going to combine the electoral votes of multiple states based on nation wide popular vote. This is an underhanded way of removing the votes from less populous states. It's also a way of making sure that Democrats can win the next election. This is EVEN MORE troubling, because it's a way around The Constitution of The United States of America.

Each state's legislature determines how it's electors will be chosen and the rules by which they vote. But there's nothing in The Constitution to keep states from working together in this manor.

California Democrats have been cutting six-figure checks to promote the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPV) in Colorado ahead of a referendum vote in the state next November.

The NPV would change how the Electoral College operates without amending the Constitution. It pledges a state's Electoral College votes to the candidate receiving the most votes nationwide in a presidential election.

Electoral College votes are awarded state-by-state, and most allocate them in a winner-take-all method to the single candidate receiving the most votes in that particular state.

States that have joined the NPV, however, would award their Electoral College votes to the candidate that wins the most votes nationwide.

For example, if Colorado voters favored the Republican candidate, but the Democratic candidate won the most votes when adding all the states in the compact together, Colorado's nine Electoral College votes would go to the Democrat.

The compact does not take effect until enough states and districts have adopted it that their combined Electoral College vote total surpasses 270, the number needed to win the presidency.

Democrats know that they have overstepped their bounds. They know that most people have seen through their impeachment charade. So, the next logical step is to cheat. To go around the Constitution, and find a way to get their person in office.

Remember, as Saul Alinsky once said, "They are passionately committed to a mystical objectivity where passions are suspect… They can be recognized by one of two verbals brands. “We agree with the ends but not the means” or “This is not the time.” The means-and-end moralists or non-doers always end up on their ends without any means." These people have the means!

It might not happen this time around, but with a little time, and court stacking, they'll most likely get their way.

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Truth Is Often Stranger Than Fiction...

Permalink 10/05/19 01:18, by OGRE / (Jeff), Categories: Welcome, News, Background, In real life, On the web, History, Politics, Elections

Right now the Democrats in the US House are trying to make people believe that Trump was involved in a grand conspiracy to win the 2016 election. But there are more than a few problems with the premise.

First of all, how would Trump be able to come up with all of this? Before knowing what was really going on? In other words, Trump was being investigated by the FBI long before there was even any mention of Trump Russia collusion. We know that there wasn't, Mueller proved that with his stumbling performance before congressional committees.

So for Trump to have thwarted all of the "evidence" in the Mueller Report, he would have to be the one behind his own investigation. Or, the obvious truth, there was never anything there. There was just a media driven push to make people think that there was something there. Remember how many times Adam Shiff said that he had absolute proof that Trump colluded with the Russians? Oh, but that was a lie.

So, that brings me to my next point. The US House Democrats are proceeding with a mock impeachment, based on a "whistle-blower" that has information on a phone call --second or third hand! Then Trump releases the phone call transcript, but there's nothing in the transcript that implicates Trump in anything. So, where does the investigation go from there?

This is like having a police officer follow you around every waking moment of the day --looking for you to do something wrong. That's absurd, and nobody would put up with that. The police are there to uphold the law --once it has been broken. When there is no evidence of the law having been broken, there is no investigation. That's what I believe is wrong with this whole thing. It's simply harassment at that point.

With this, we have a new issue arising as well. Nancy Pelosi is claiming that she can start impeachment proceedings without a vote from the full House of Representatives. Nancy Pelosi is NOT The House, she is a member of The House. If this is the case; any sitting president can be harassed without cause --period. How many Democrats would put up with this? We had Obama on tape! Obama told Medvedev to let Vladimir Putin know that he would have more flexibility after the election. That is REAL collusion documented on tape but nobody seemed to care about that.

All of the foreign governments officials know that this is a hoax, perpetuated by the Democrats, to get Trump out of office. The question is, how long will the other members of congress allow this to go on? Or, are they all sellouts?

The US economy is booming, unemployment is down across all demographics. The stock markets are reaching record highs. Things are looking up since Trump has been in office. But all the Democrats can do is try to get the guy that's done what they've promised to do for 30+ years, out of office.

THE BIGGEST THING THAT TRUMP HAS ACCOMPLISHED IS TO PROVE THAT THE POLITICIANS IN WASHINGTON ARE LARGELY FRAUDS! Trump has been able to turn things around in just a few years, when Washington politicians have been complaining, and promising to fix them for as long as I can remember. That's why he must go, and I believe that's why Republicans and Democrats would like to see him gone. The "Swamp" is flooded with politicians from both parties.

The Democrats, and Republicans, must be defeated in court if we are to preserve our republic. The only hope we have is that this will backfire, and the people behind the real crimes are imprisoned. There is no other way around this. The American public, and the rest of the world for that matter, will not take the US seriously while these types of games are played.

But that might be the plan. Democrats want to drastically transform America. What better way than to make the American public believe that the system is truly broken? Why, it must need to be drastically transformed right?

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